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Umea FF vs Fransta IK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Umea Energi Arena SOL, Umea
Umea FF Logo

Umea FF

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Fransta IK Logo

Fransta IK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umea FF host Fransta IK in the Division 2 - Norrland. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Umea FF have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded recently, against Fransta IK's 1.71 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Umea FF have won 0 to Fransta IK's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 2.13) point toward Fransta IK. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Umea FF
15%
Draws
64%
Fransta IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fransta IK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Umea FF's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Fransta IK have produced (1.71).
  • Model gives Fransta IK a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fransta IK have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%
Fransta IK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FF Fransta IK
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
3:2
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
1:1
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Fransta IK
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 10 / 100
Fransta IK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FF Fransta IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fransta IK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fransta IK let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Umea FF's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Umea FF has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS Fransta IK
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FF

(Home)
03 Oct
Umea FF
0 : 4
Friska Viljor
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
Page 1 of 6

Fransta IK

(Away)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 9 6 1 2 22:14 31
2 Umea FC Akademi 9 5 1 3 27:15 27
3 Storfors AIK 9 5 1 3 15:11 24
4 Fransta IK 9 5 0 4 19:18 24
5 Umea FF 9 4 0 5 18:20 23
6 IFK Umea 9 0 1 8 8:31 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)