Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umea FF vs Jaro

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Valencic F.
24' Event
Gunnarsson E.
86' Event

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Umea FF
20%
Draws
20%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Umea FF average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Jaro's 1.
  • Win probability leans Umea FF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 17%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FF Jaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Umea FF vs Jaro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunnarsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 84 / 100
Jaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FF Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Umea FF scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jaro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS Jaro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FF

(Home)
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6