Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Umea Energi Arena SOL

Umea FF

1 - 4

Lucksta IF

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Shino A.

38'

Turay A.

41'

Gibrill During A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Umea FF

11%

Draws

Lucksta IF

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Umea FF haven't matched Lucksta IF's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Umea FF's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Umea FF have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%

Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%

Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umea FF	Lucksta IF
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	12
Draws	6	3
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	1.5	2.38
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland

Lucksta IF vs Umea FF

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:5

Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland

Umea FF vs Lucksta IF

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland

Lucksta IF vs Umea FF

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

1:4

May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland

Umea FF vs Lucksta IF

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolf-Watz M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Shino A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Turay A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 74 / 100

Lucksta IF 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umea FF Lucksta IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UME Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Umea FF scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Umea FF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS Lucksta IF

1.5 Goals Scored 2.38

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skelleftea	12	8	3	1	26:8	27
2	Taftea IK	12	8	1	3	34:13	25
3	IFK Lulea	12	8	1	3	32:14	25
4	Boden	12	4	5	3	15:14	17
5	Umea FC Akademi	12	2	5	5	17:29	11
6	Storfors AIK	12	2	2	8	14:32	8
7	IFK Umea	12	1	1	10	10:38	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kubikenborgs	12	7	2	3	25:16	23
2	Gottne IF	12	7	2	3	29:24	23
3	Lucksta IF	12	5	3	4	26:26	18
4	IFK Ostersund	12	4	5	3	23:20	17
5	Friska Viljor	12	2	6	4	23:21	12
6	Umea FF	12	2	5	5	22:26	11
7	Fransta IK	12	2	3	7	17:32	9