Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umea FF vs Lucksta IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Umea Energi Arena SOL, Umea
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Shino A.
38' Event
Turay A.
41' Event
Gibrill During A.

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umea FF
15%
Draws
0%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FF haven't matched Lucksta IF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Umea FF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Umea FF have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 12%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FF Lucksta IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Umea FF
1:5
Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Lucksta IF
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Umea FF
1:4
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Lucksta IF
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolf-Watz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Shino A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Turay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 83 / 100
Lucksta IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FF Lucksta IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Lucksta IF registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Umea FF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS Lucksta IF
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FF

(Home)
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
Umea FF
2 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
08 Aug
Storfors AIK
4 : 1
Umea FF
27 Jun
Umea FF
3 : 3
Friska Viljor
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Lucksta IF

(Away)
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
22 Aug
Taftea IK
4 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Lucksta IF
12 Aug
Lucksta IF
1 : 3
Kubikenborgs
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)