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Umea Sodra W vs Hovas W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2013
Umea Sodra W Logo

Umea Sodra W

3 - 1
FT
Hovas W Logo

Hovas W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umea Sodra W in this Elitettan Women 2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea Sodra W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umea Sodra W
15%
Draws
0%
Hovas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea Sodra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Umea Sodra W at 1.12 per game, Hovas W at 1.08.
  • Model gives Hovas W a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hovas W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Umea Sodra W Clean Sheet 20%
Hovas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea Sodra W Hovas W
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 1.12 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2014 Elitettan Women
Hovas W vs Umea Sodra W
6:0
Apr 27, 2014 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Hovas W
0:4
Aug 17, 2013 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Hovas W
3:1
Jun 2, 2013 Elitettan Women
Hovas W vs Umea Sodra W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea Sodra W 24 / 100
Hovas W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea Sodra W Hovas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hovas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hovas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Hovas W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Umea Sodra W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Umea Sodra W VS Hovas W
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea Sodra W

(Home)
29 Mar
Umea Sodra W
2 : 1
Mariehem W
18 Oct
Alta W
4 : 0
Umea Sodra W
12 Oct
Umea Sodra W
1 : 3
Mallbacken W
05 Oct
Hovas W
6 : 0
Umea Sodra W
27 Sept
Umea Sodra W
0 : 6
Bunkeflo W
Page 1 of 7

Hovas W

(Away)
12 Nov
Kungsbacka W
1 : 0
Hovas W
04 Nov
Hovas W
0 : 1
AIK W
28 Oct
Kalmar W
7 : 1
Hovas W
14 Oct
Umea W
3 : 0
Hovas W
07 Oct
Hovas W
2 : 3
Mallbacken W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilstuna United W 26 18 6 2 55:21 60
2 AIK W 26 18 4 4 53:24 58
3 Sirius W 26 15 7 4 52:16 52
4 Hammarby W 26 12 10 4 48:29 46
5 Kvarnsvedens W 26 11 6 9 28:23 39
6 Umea Sodra W 26 11 5 10 34:37 38
7 Alta W 26 10 6 10 39:33 36
8 QBIK Karlstad W 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
9 Djurgarden W 26 8 6 12 36:49 30
10 Hovas W 26 8 3 15 35:46 27
11 Bunkeflo W 26 7 6 13 33:49 27
12 Kalmar W 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
13 Oster W 26 6 6 14 23:42 24
14 Sundsvall W 26 2 3 21 21:74 9
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2014 (Main)