Sport Picks

Sweden

Elitettan Women 2013

Hovas W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umea Sodra W play Hovas W in the Elitettan Women 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umea Sodra W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. Hovas W averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Umea Sodra W won 1, Hovas W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 5, 2014 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Umea Sodra W and 0.75 for Hovas W. This points to a Umea Sodra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Umea Sodra W

15%

Draws

36%

Hovas W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea Sodra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Umea Sodra W picked up more points recently compared to Hovas W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Umea Sodra W Clean Sheet 27%

Hovas W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umea Sodra W	Hovas W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	3
Draws	2	5
Losses	21	23
Goals Scored	0.93	0.81
Goals Conceded	2.73	2.32
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2014 Elitettan Women

Hovas W vs Umea Sodra W

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

6:0

Apr 27, 2014 Elitettan Women

Umea Sodra W vs Hovas W

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

Aug 17, 2013 Elitettan Women

Umea Sodra W vs Hovas W

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Jun 2, 2013 Elitettan Women

Hovas W vs Umea Sodra W

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea Sodra W 50 / 100

Hovas W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umea Sodra W Hovas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Umea Sodra W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umea Sodra W attacking → ← attacking Hovas W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea Sodra W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Hovas W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Umea Sodra W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hovas W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 14

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eskilstuna United W	26	18	6	2	55:21	60
2	AIK W	26	18	4	4	53:24	58
3	Sirius W	26	15	7	4	52:16	52
4	Hammarby W	26	12	10	4	48:29	46
5	Kvarnsvedens W	26	11	6	9	28:23	39
6	Umea Sodra W	26	11	5	10	34:37	38
7	Alta W	26	10	6	10	39:33	36
8	QBIK Karlstad W	26	10	6	10	32:34	36
9	Djurgarden W	26	8	6	12	36:49	30
10	Hovas W	26	8	3	15	35:46	27
11	Bunkeflo W	26	7	6	13	33:49	27
12	Kalmar W	26	6	6	14	31:43	24
13	Oster W	26	6	6	14	23:42	24
14	Sundsvall W	26	2	3	21	21:74	9