Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UMECIT vs Plaza Amador

Panama Panama

LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UMECIT play Plaza Amador in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, UMECIT averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Plaza Amador averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, UMECIT won 1, Plaza Amador won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for UMECIT and 1.56 for Plaza Amador. This points to a Plaza Amador double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UMECIT
35%
Draws
36%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • UMECIT picked up more points recently compared to Plaza Amador.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 15%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Plaza Amador
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 13 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
3:0
May 10, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
2:2
Jan 27, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Plaza Amador
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmezano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Plaza Amador Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 29 / 100
Plaza Amador 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Plaza Amador

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Plaza Amador or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UMECIT attacking → ← attacking Plaza Amador

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UMECIT scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Plaza Amador let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Plaza Amador lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 62
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Plaza Amador1694328:1631
2Alianza1669126:2027
3UMECIT1667328:2025
4Tauro1656522:1921
5Arabe Unido1663716:2021
6Sporting San Miguelito1646619:2118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Veraguas1674526:2325
2Union Cocle1658316:1123
3Independiente1648418:1420
4San Francisco1655622:2520
5Union Deportivo Universitario1635819:2714
6Herrera16151013:378