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UMECIT vs Plaza Amador Prediction & H2H Stats

Panama Panama

LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Beccera O.
45' Event
Murillo J.
57'
Murillo J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
UMECIT
30%
Draws
31%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Amador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives UMECIT a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Plaza Amador arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor UMECIT, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Plaza Amador
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
3:0
May 16, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
3:0
May 10, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs UMECIT
2:2
Jan 27, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Plaza Amador
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Beccera O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 59 / 100
Plaza Amador 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Plaza Amador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMECIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UMECIT's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Plaza Amador let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UMECIT VS Plaza Amador
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

UMECIT

(Home)
26 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
2 : 1
UMECIT
22 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 0
Union Cocle
13 Sept
Herrera
1 : 3
UMECIT
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
01 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 1
Veraguas
Page 1 of 7

Plaza Amador

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2
Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1
Herrera
30 Aug
San Francisco
4 : 1
Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Veraguas -
TBD -
Alianza 4
Independiente 3
Plaza Amador -
TBD -
Union Cocle 1
UMECIT 2
Semi-finals
Veraguas 2
Alianza 3
Plaza Amador 5
UMECIT 2
Final
Alianza 2
Plaza Amador 3