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UMECIT vs Union Deportivo Universitario

Panama Panama

LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya
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AI Match Summary

UMECIT play Union Deportivo Universitario in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, UMECIT averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Union Deportivo Universitario averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, UMECIT won 2, Union Deportivo Universitario won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for UMECIT and 1.25 for Union Deportivo Universitario. This points to a UMECIT double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UMECIT
34%
Draws
24%
Union Deportivo Universitario
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • UMECIT picked up more points recently compared to Union Deportivo Universitario.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 19%
Union Deportivo Universitario Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Union Deportivo Universitario
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Union Deportivo Universitario
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs UMECIT
2:0
Apr 15, 2025 LPF
UMECIT vs Union Deportivo Universitario
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs UMECIT
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs UMECIT
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moran C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Union Deportivo Universitario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 42 / 100
Union Deportivo Universitario 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Union Deportivo Universitario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UMECIT or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UMECIT attacking → ← attacking Union Deportivo Universitario

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UMECIT scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Union Deportivo Universitario let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Deportivo Universitario lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 26
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Plaza Amador1694328:1631
2Alianza1669126:2027
3UMECIT1667328:2025
4Tauro1656522:1921
5Arabe Unido1663716:2021
6Sporting San Miguelito1646619:2118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Veraguas1674526:2325
2Union Cocle1658316:1123
3Independiente1648418:1420
4San Francisco1655622:2520
5Union Deportivo Universitario1635819:2714
6Herrera16151013:378