Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm Al Hassam vs Al Khalidiyah

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umm Al Hassam play Al Khalidiyah in the Bahrain Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umm Al Hassam averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. Al Khalidiyah averaged 2.39 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Umm Al Hassam won 0, Al Khalidiyah won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2023 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Umm Al Hassam and 2.13 for Al Khalidiyah. This points to a Al Khalidiyah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Umm Al Hassam
15%
Draws
47%
Al Khalidiyah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Khalidiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Umm Al Hassam picked up more points recently compared to Al Khalidiyah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 10%
Al Khalidiyah Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Al Hassam Al Khalidiyah
Matches Played 12 44
Wins 4 30
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.75 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Khalidiyah vs Umm Al Hassam
10:0
Mar 19, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs Al Khalidiyah
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Al Hassam 36 / 100
Al Khalidiyah 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Al Hassam Al Khalidiyah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Khalidiyah or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umm Al Hassam attacking → ← attacking Al Khalidiyah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Al Hassam scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

Al Khalidiyah let in goals in 59% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Umm Al Hassam went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Khalidiyah lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 94
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hidd550013:215
2Al Riffa531114:1010
3Ali CSC52128:107
4Al-Ittihad52038:96
5Isa Town51047:153
6Al-Budaiya51044:83
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manama Club550017:215
2Al-Ahli53119:310
3Busaiteen530210:119
4Al Reef52127:117
5Al-Najma51046:113
6Al-Ittifaq50054:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Khalidiyah550014:015
2Al-Shabbab531110:210
3Al-Hala52037:66
4Umm Al Hassam52035:86
5Qalali51132:94
6Malkia51042:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahrain SC532012:511
2Bouri52215:58
3East Riffa52128:37
4Al-Muharraq521213:107
5Sitra51225:65
6Tadamun Buri51044:183