Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umm Mughad play Al-Hilal Omdurman II in the Premier League. Al-Hilal Omdurman II are favorites here. Recently, Umm Mughad averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Al-Hilal Omdurman II averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.35 conceded. In past meetings, Umm Mughad won 0, Al-Hilal Omdurman II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Umm Mughad and 1.00 for Al-Hilal Omdurman II. This points to a Al-Hilal Omdurman II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Umm Mughad

25%

Draws

60%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Umm Mughad picked up more points recently compared to Al-Hilal Omdurman II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 23%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umm Mughad	Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Matches Played	23	17
Wins	9	13
Draws	8	4
Losses	6	0
Goals Scored	1.43	1.94
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.35
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League

Umm Mughad vs Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Mughad 18 / 100

Al-Hilal Omdurman II 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umm Mughad Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman II Win (2)

Secondary Pick Al-Hilal Omdurman II & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umm Mughad attacking → ← attacking Al-Hilal Omdurman II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Mughad scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman II let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Umm Mughad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman II lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 43

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman II	7	7	0	0	16:1	21
2	Al-Merreikh II	7	6	0	1	21:4	18
3	Hilal Alsahil	7	3	2	2	10:6	11
4	Madani	7	3	2	2	13:11	11
5	Umm Mughad	7	3	0	4	10:15	9
6	Hilal El-Fasher	7	1	2	4	4:7	5
7	Hay Al Wadi	7	1	2	4	6:14	5
8	Alfalah Atbra	7	0	0	7	2:24	0