Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm-Salal vs Al Khor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gomes R.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Ashour L.
Own Goal
41' Event
Al Shammari M.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2 game between Umm-Salal and Al Khor finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Khor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Umm-Salal
15%
Draws
20%
Al Khor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Khor haven't matched Umm-Salal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Umm-Salal a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm-Salal Al Khor
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Khor vs Umm-Salal
0:2
Sep 7, 2026 QSL 2
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
1:5
Sep 24, 2025 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 QSL
Al Khor vs Umm-Salal
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shammari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Khor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabo M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm-Salal 67 / 100
Al Khor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm-Salal Al Khor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umm-Salal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khor let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Umm-Salal scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Umm-Salal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umm-Salal VS Al Khor
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm-Salal

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

Al Khor

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Markhiya 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Al Bidda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Al Waab 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Al Kharitiyath 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Umm-Salal 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
8 Al Khor 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
10 Al Gharafa 2 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Shamal 2 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Al Rayyan 2 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)