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Umraniyespor vs Antalyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bostan M.
Assist: Tasci T.
46'
Sub
Tivsiz E. B. In: Safuri R.
Out: Tivsiz E. B.
56'
Sub
Tasci T. In: Kosoko T.
Out: Tasci T.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Umraniyespor and Antalyaspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antalyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Umraniyespor
15%
Draws
64%
Antalyaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antalyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Antalyaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Antalyaspor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Antalyaspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 16%
Antalyaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Antalyaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Antalyaspor
1:2
Jan 28, 2023 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Umraniyespor
3:2
Aug 14, 2022 Super Lig
Umraniyespor vs Antalyaspor
0:1
Jul 28, 2021 Club Friendly
Antalyaspor vs Umraniyespor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bostan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Antalyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Vural G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 28 / 100
Antalyaspor 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Antalyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antalyaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Antalyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Umraniyespor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Antalyaspor
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

Antalyaspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Boluspor
0 : 1
Antalyaspor
20 Sept
Antalyaspor
3 : 0
Vanspor FK
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
06 Sept
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
01 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)