Sport Picks
Umraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
62'
62'
Kaplan E.
Assist: Benny
64'
64'
Sub
Fettahoglu M. In: Keser B.
Out: Fettahoglu M.
64'
64'
Sub
Crociata G. In: Sylla C.
Out: Crociata G.
AI Match Summary
Umraniyespor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umraniyespor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Erzurumspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Umraniyespor.
- Win probability leans Erzurumspor FK's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 12%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 23 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Umraniyespor
2:0
May 4, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Umraniyespor
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
May 5, 2024 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umraniyespor Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaplan E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Benny
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umraniyespor 19 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umraniyespor Erzurumspor FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ERZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Umraniyespor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.
Recent resilience: Umraniyespor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Umraniyespor VS Erzurumspor FK
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Umraniyespor
(Home) 17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3 Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2 Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0 Sakaryaspor
21 Mar
Umraniyespor
0 : 0 Pendikspor
Page 1 of 3
Erzurumspor FK
(Away) 17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1 Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0 Boluspor
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
09 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
22 Mar
Erokspor
0 : 2 Erzurumspor FK
11 Mar
Umraniyespor
3 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
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