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UNA vs Lienden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 15, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNA host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. UNA have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Lienden's 0.84 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, UNA have won 1 to Lienden's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.19) point toward UNA. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UNA
20%
Draws
40%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UNA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UNA Clean Sheet 20%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA Lienden
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Lienden
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs UNA
1:2
Mar 11, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Lienden vs UNA
2:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tweede Divisie
UNA vs Lienden
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 32 / 100
Lienden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lienden has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lienden lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
Page 1 of 6

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)