Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
van Kruijssen J.
77'
77'
Urban N.
88'
88'
Eekman T.
AI Match Summary
Smitshoek in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smitshoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to UNA lately — more wins on the board than Smitshoek.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on UNA taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
UNA Clean Sheet 20%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UNA | Smitshoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Smitshoek
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs UNA
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UNA Compare
Top Goalscorer van Kruijssen J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Urban N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eekman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UNA 85 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UNA Smitshoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UNA scored in 89% of their last 36 games.
Smitshoek let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Smitshoek's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
UNA VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UNA
(Home) 20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1 UNA
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 UNA
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2 UNA
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1 EVV
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1 EVV
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
10 May
UNA
0 : 2 Lisse
Page 1 of 4
Smitshoek
(Away) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
12 Apr
ASWH
3 : 5 Smitshoek
22 Mar
GOES
1 : 3 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
