Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs TOGB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between UNA and TOGB finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UNA
20%
Draws
51%
TOGB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOGB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UNA haven't matched TOGB's recent run of results.
  • UNA are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
UNA Clean Sheet 13%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA TOGB
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs UNA
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs UNA
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 35 / 100
TOGB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA TOGB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNA scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

TOGB has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UNA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS TOGB
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
30 Jun
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
UNA
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 3
UNA
10 May
UNA
0 : 2
Lisse
Page 1 of 7

TOGB

(Away)
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0
TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
TOGB
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 ADO 20 Heemskerk 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Purmersteijn 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
5 Harkemase Boys 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 ACV Assen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Sportlust 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 VV DOVO 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Staphorst 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 SVZW Wierden 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
13 HVV Hollandia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 TEC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 USV Hercules 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Eemdijk 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dongen 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Lisse 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Roosendaal 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 GOES 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 VVSB 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Gemert 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 UNA 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 RKSV UDI 19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 TOGB 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 EVV 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 SV Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Groene Ster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Achilles Veen 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
18 VV Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)