Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between UNA and TOGB finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOGB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- UNA haven't matched TOGB's recent run of results.
- UNA are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
UNA Clean Sheet 10%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UNA | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs UNA
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs UNA
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs TOGB
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UNA 34 / 100
TOGB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UNA TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UNA scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
TOGB has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Away concern: TOGB has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UNA VS TOGB
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
UNA
(Home) 10 Oct
SV Poortugaal
1 : 0 UNA
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1 UNA
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1 UNA
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1 EVV
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
Page 1 of 3
TOGB
(Away) 10 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 2 TOGB
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 2 TOGB
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
