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Unai EC vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Unai EC Logo

Unai EC

0 - 0
FT
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Unai EC and Ceilandense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Unai EC
15%
Draws
34%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unai EC come out ahead of Ceilandense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Unai EC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 15%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unai EC Ceilandense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.57 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2020 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Ceilandense
5:0
Feb 14, 2015 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Unai EC
1:1
Feb 2, 2014 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Ceilandense
0:0
Jan 20, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Unai EC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unai EC 39 / 100
Ceilandense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unai EC Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unai EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Ceilandense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ceilandense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unai EC VS Ceilandense
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Unai EC

(Home)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)