Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Salazar J.
42' Event
Salazar J.
66' Event
del Valle Y.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UNAM Pumas U21
6%
Draws
4%
Mazatlan FC U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UNAM Pumas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas U21 have won more games recently than Mazatlan FC U21.
  • Win probability leans UNAM Pumas U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Mazatlan FC U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
4:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader del Valle Y.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 85 / 100
Mazatlan FC U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Mazatlan FC U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mazatlan FC U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

UNAM Pumas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Mazatlan FC U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Pachuca U21
02 May
Club America U21
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
29 Apr
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 1
Club America U21
25 Apr
Pachuca U21
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
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Mazatlan FC U21

(Away)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
22 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
2 : 1
Toluca U21
17 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
0 : 4
Queretaro U21
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas U21
4 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
03 Apr
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)