Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas U21 vs Monterrey U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Reyes C.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UNAM Pumas U21
15%
Draws
65%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 average 1.78 goals a game right now, well clear of UNAM Pumas U21's 1.46.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 31 / 100
Monterrey U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas U21 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: UNAM Pumas U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Monterrey U21
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Queretaro U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey U21

(Away)
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)