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UNAM Pumas U21 vs Necaxa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Pedroza M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between UNAM Pumas U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
UNAM Pumas U21
15%
Draws
64%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas U21 and Necaxa U21 have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans UNAM Pumas U21's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Necaxa U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:1
Mar 27, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedroza M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 36 / 100
Necaxa U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Necaxa U21 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UNAM Pumas U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Necaxa U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)