Sport Picks
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
19'
19'
Gamez J.
90'
90'
Chavez J.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Lugo N.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between UNAM Pumas U21 and Pachuca U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Pachuca U21's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what UNAM Pumas U21 have produced (1.36).
- Model gives UNAM Pumas U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UNAM Pumas U21 | Pachuca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:2
Nov 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UNAM Pumas U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Pachuca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gamez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UNAM Pumas U21 42 / 100
Pachuca U21 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UNAM Pumas U21 Pachuca U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
UNAM Pumas U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Pachuca U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Pachuca U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UNAM Pumas U21 VS Pachuca U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
UNAM Pumas U21
(Home) 27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Atletico San Luis U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Club Leon U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1 Queretaro U21
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1 Pachuca U21
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Pachuca U21
(Away) 26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0 Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1 Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0 Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2 Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0 Pachuca U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0 Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2 Pachuca U21
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 0 Pachuca U21
01 Aug
Club Leon U21
3 : 2 Pachuca U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Juarez U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
