Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Club America

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Duarte R.
13' Event
Nathan Silva
Assist: Vite P.
23' Event
Carrillo J.
Assist: Juninho

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-3. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UNAM Pumas
44%
Draws
20%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Club America haven't matched UNAM Pumas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • UNAM Pumas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club America, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 15%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Club America
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club America
3:3
May 3, 2026 Liga MX
Club America vs UNAM Pumas
3:3
Mar 22, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club America
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs UNAM Pumas
4:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club America
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nathan Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zendejas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 35 / 100
Club America 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Club America let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

UNAM Pumas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Club America
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
25 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 7

Club America

(Away)
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1
Club America
12 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0
Club America
05 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 2
Club America
11 May
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Club America
03 May
Club America
3 : 3
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
UNAM Pumas6
Club America6
Pachuca3
Toluca0
Guadalajara Chivas3
Tigres UANL3
Cruz Azul4
Atlas2
Semi-finals
UNAM Pumas1
Pachuca1
Guadalajara Chivas3
Cruz Azul4
Final
UNAM Pumas1
Cruz Azul2