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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Cruz Azul in this Liga MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cruz Azul have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Cruz Azul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cruz Azul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UNAM Pumas | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UNAM Pumas Compare
Cruz Azul Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.
UNAM Pumas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: UNAM Pumas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.