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UNAM Pumas W vs Atlas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas W host Atlas W in the Liga MX Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Atlas W have shipped 2.24 goals a game lately, while UNAM Pumas W have conceded 1.8 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor UNAM Pumas W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward UNAM Pumas W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UNAM Pumas W
20%
Draws
51%
Atlas W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atlas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas W haven't matched UNAM Pumas W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UNAM Pumas W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 16%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas W Atlas W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Atlas W
3:4
Mar 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Atlas W
4:2
Mar 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas W 66 / 100
Atlas W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas W Atlas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atlas W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas W VS Atlas W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

Atlas W

(Away)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)