Sport Picks
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
Mexico
Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City 
Match Events
26'
26'
Hernandez M.
44'
44'
Hix A.
46'
46'
Sub
De La Rosa J. In: Salazar E.
Out: De La Rosa J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between UNAM Pumas W and Guadalajara Chivas W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UNAM Pumas W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:2
Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:3
Apr 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UNAM Pumas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UNAM Pumas W 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UNAM Pumas W Guadalajara Chivas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UNAM Pumas W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
UNAM Pumas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UNAM Pumas W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
UNAM Pumas W
(Home) 20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2 Club America W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
21 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
5 : 0 Queretaro W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2 Club America W
21 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
5 : 0 Queretaro W
02 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 5 Club Leon W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2 Puebla W
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
