Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hernandez D.
44'
Hix A.
46'
Sub
De La Rosa J. In: Salazar E.
Out: De La Rosa J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between UNAM Pumas W and Guadalajara Chivas W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UNAM Pumas W
39%
Draws
30%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:3
Apr 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas W 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas W

(Home)
25 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2
Puebla W
02 Apr
Monterrey W
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
28 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 1
Club Leon W
22 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Pachuca W
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Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1
Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)