Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas W play Juarez W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, UNAM Pumas W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Juarez W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, UNAM Pumas W won 2, Juarez W won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for UNAM Pumas W and 1.94 for Juarez W. This points to a Juarez W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UNAM Pumas W
35%
Draws
34%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas W picked up more points recently compared to Juarez W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas W Juarez W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
2:2
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
3:2
Jan 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asantewaa G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abud K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas W 30 / 100
Juarez W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas W Juarez W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Juarez W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UNAM Pumas W attacking → ← attacking Juarez W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Juarez W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UNAM Pumas W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Juarez W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 44
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582