Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas W vs Puebla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mendoza A.
12'
Lopez A.
53' Event
Ribeiro S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between UNAM Pumas W and Puebla W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UNAM Pumas W
15%
Draws
0%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UNAM Pumas W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UNAM Pumas W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas W Puebla W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Puebla W
2:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Puebla W
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:2
Feb 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Puebla W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Puebla W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas W 84 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Puebla W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Puebla W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas W VS Puebla W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

Puebla W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)