Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas W vs Queretaro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hernandez M.
Assist: Guerrero A.
9' Event
Mendoza A.
Assist: Guerrero A.
31' Event
Hernandez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between UNAM Pumas W and Queretaro W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
UNAM Pumas W
15%
Draws
36%
Queretaro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas W come out ahead of Queretaro W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UNAM Pumas W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 16%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas W Queretaro W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Queretaro W
5:0
Jan 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Queretaro W
4:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:1
Mar 24, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:2
Sep 20, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Queretaro W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Queretaro W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas W 48 / 100
Queretaro W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas W Queretaro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Queretaro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Queretaro W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas W VS Queretaro W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro W

(Away)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)