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UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
76' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
UNAN-Managua
33%
Draws
40%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sport Sebaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua haven't matched Sport Sebaco's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sport Sebaco taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sport Sebaco have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
4:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
3:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
2:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 28 / 100
Sport Sebaco 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Sport Sebaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: UNAN-Managua scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sport Sebaco has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

UNAN-Managua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Sport Sebaco
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315