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UNAN-Managua vs Rancho Santana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Santana M.
69' Event
Gaston W.

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
UNAN-Managua
20%
Draws
29%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNAN-Managua lately — more wins on the board than Rancho Santana.
  • Win probability leans UNAN-Managua's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Rancho Santana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Rancho Santana
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs UNAN-Managua
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs UNAN-Managua
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Rancho Santana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaston W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rancho Santana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 76 / 100
Rancho Santana 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAN-Managua found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Rancho Santana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

UNAN-Managua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Rancho Santana
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Rancho Santana

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)