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Undy vs Newport

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Morris B.
34' Event
Waite J.
76' Event
Rai K.

AI Match Summary

Newport in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
20%
Draws
80%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newport lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
  • Newport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Newport have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Newport Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Newport
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1 1.65
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Undy vs Newport
1:4
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Undy vs Newport
0:4
Jul 1, 2022 Club Friendly
Undy vs Newport
0:7
Dec 12, 2020 League Cup
Newport vs Undy
0:0
Jul 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Undy vs Newport
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morris B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Newport 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Newport has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Newport registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Undy found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Newport
0 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
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Newport

(Away)
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2
Tranmere
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3
Newport
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