Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Undy vs Risca United

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jarman D.
17' Event
Wheeler R.
19' Event
Thomas M.

AI Match Summary

Risca United in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Risca United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
15%
Draws
85%
Risca United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Risca United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Risca United lately — more wins on the board than Undy.
  • Risca United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Risca United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Risca United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Risca United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Risca United
1:2
Oct 22, 2021 Cymru South
Risca United vs Undy
3:0
Feb 25, 2017 Division 1
Risca United vs Undy
3:2
Oct 15, 2016 Division 1
Undy vs Risca United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wheeler R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Risca United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Risca United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Risca United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Risca United let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Risca United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Undy's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Risca United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 6

Risca United

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)