Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Undy vs Taffs Well

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Jones M.

AI Match Summary

Taffs Well in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taffs Well.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
15%
Draws
85%
Taffs Well
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Taffs Well at 1.21 per game, Undy at 1.06.
  • Win probability leans Taffs Well's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Taffs Well here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Undy Clean Sheet 16%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Taffs Well
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 24 23
Goals Scored 1.06 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Taffs Well
0:1
Sep 17, 2021 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Undy
3:0
Feb 11, 2020 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Undy
2:1
Aug 31, 2019 Cymru South
Undy vs Taffs Well
4:2
May 8, 2019 Division 1
Undy vs Taffs Well
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Taffs Well Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Taffs Well 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Taffs Well

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taffs Well Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taffs Well's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Taffs Well lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Undy's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Taffs Well
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
Page 1 of 7

Taffs Well

(Away)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
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