Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca C

Barra Mansa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uni Souza play Barra Mansa in the Carioca C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uni Souza averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Barra Mansa averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Uni Souza won 1, Barra Mansa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Uni Souza and 1.13 for Barra Mansa. This points to a Uni Souza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Uni Souza

29%

Draws

28%

Barra Mansa

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Uni Souza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Uni Souza picked up more points recently compared to Barra Mansa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Uni Souza Clean Sheet 21%

Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uni Souza	Barra Mansa
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	12	8
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.47	0.89
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Carioca C

Uni Souza vs Barra Mansa

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Oct 17, 2024 Carioca B2

Barra Mansa vs Uni Souza

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uni Souza 43 / 100

Barra Mansa 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uni Souza Barra Mansa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uni Souza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uni Souza attacking → ← attacking Barra Mansa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uni Souza scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Barra Mansa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Uni Souza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barra Mansa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 32

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13