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Unia Janikowo vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Sat, May 20, 2023
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Janikowo host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II 2022/2023. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Unia Janikowo at 0.38 goals for, 2.59 against; Polonia Sroda Wielkopol at 2.22 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.30) point toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Unia Janikowo
30%
Draws
70%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Unia Janikowo Clean Sheet 19%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Janikowo Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 1 25
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.38 2.22
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Janikowo
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:3
Aug 27, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Janikowo
4:1
Aug 9, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Janikowo 10 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Janikowo Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol conceded in 73% of 41 recent games.

Unia Janikowo's goal record stands at 28% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Janikowo

(Home)
17 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
10 Jun
Unia Janikowo
0 : 3
Swit Szczecin
03 Jun
Stolem Gniewino
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
27 May
Unia Janikowo
0 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
24 May
Ol. Grudziadz
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ol. Grudziadz 34 23 7 4 73:18 76
2 Pogon Szczecin II 34 20 9 5 69:25 69
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 4 10 75:54 64
4 Zawisza 34 19 5 10 69:45 62
5 Gedania Gdansk 34 19 4 11 63:59 61
6 Starogard Gdanski 34 17 8 9 44:35 59
7 Swit Szczecin 34 16 7 11 61:41 55
8 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 16 6 12 51:46 54
9 Kleczew 34 14 5 15 53:48 47
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 11 11 12 37:42 44
11 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 10 13 37:40 43
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 10 12 12 46:45 42
13 Stolem Gniewino 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
14 Vineta Wolin 34 8 11 15 47:66 35
15 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 9 8 17 40:59 35
16 Jarocin 34 9 6 19 41:69 33
17 B. Gdynia 34 8 4 22 43:70 28
18 Unia Janikowo 34 2 4 28 17:85 10
19 Przodkowo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)