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Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Unia Skierniewice and Pogon Siedlce finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Skierniewice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Unia Skierniewice
20%
Draws
57%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Siedlce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce have managed 1.12 goals a game lately — Unia Skierniewice are scoring more at 1.56.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Siedlce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 16%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice
0:3
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Siedlce
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 19 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Unia Skierniewice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Skierniewice VS Pogon Siedlce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Skierniewice

(Home)
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
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Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
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