Sport Picks
Unia Skierniewice vs Sokol Ostroda Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
8'
8'
Stepien M.
90'
90'
Sabillo K.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Unia Skierniewice and Sokol Ostroda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Skierniewice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unia Skierniewice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Unia Skierniewice come out ahead of Sokol Ostroda on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Unia Skierniewice taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Unia Skierniewice | Sokol Ostroda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Sokol Ostroda
2:0
Oct 1, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Unia Skierniewice
0:4
May 9, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Unia Skierniewice
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Sokol Ostroda
0:6
May 4, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Unia Skierniewice
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Unia Skierniewice Compare
Top Goalscorer Stepien M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabillo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Unia Skierniewice 49 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Unia Skierniewice Sokol Ostroda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Unia Skierniewice scored in 84% of their last 38 games.
Sokol Ostroda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Unia Skierniewice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Unia Skierniewice VS Sokol Ostroda
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Unia Skierniewice
(Home) 20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1 S. Rzeszow
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1 S. Rzeszow
16 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 3 Legnica
10 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 0 Arka Gdynia
05 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 3 Kleczew
Page 1 of 5
Sokol Ostroda
(Away) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
28 May
Pelikan
1 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
21 May
Jagiellonia II
3 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
06 May
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
