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Unia Solec Kujawski vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Solec Kujawski play Unia Swarzedz in the III Liga - Group II 2023/2024. Unia Swarzedz are favorites here. Recently, Unia Solec Kujawski averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Unia Swarzedz averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Unia Solec Kujawski won 0, Unia Swarzedz won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Unia Solec Kujawski and 1.18 for Unia Swarzedz. This points to a Unia Swarzedz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Unia Solec Kujawski
18%
Draws
59%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Solec Kujawski picked up more points recently compared to Unia Swarzedz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Unia Solec Kujawski Clean Sheet 20%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Solec Kujawski Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Unia Swarzedz
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Unia Solec Kujawski
1:0
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Unia Solec Kujawski
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Unia Solec Kujawski vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Solec Kujawski Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bieganski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Solec Kujawski 25 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Solec Kujawski Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Unia Swarzedz & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unia Solec Kujawski attacking → ← attacking Unia Swarzedz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Solec Kujawski scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Unia Solec Kujawski went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Unia Swarzedz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713