Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rasiak J.
19' Event
Rasiak J.
84'
Kulczak K.

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz host Lipno Steszew in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Unia Swarzedz have averaged 2.13 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Lipno Steszew's 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Unia Swarzedz have won 0 to Lipno Steszew's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.31) point toward Lipno Steszew. Lipno Steszew in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Unia Swarzedz
20%
Draws
38%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Lipno Steszew has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Unia Swarzedz.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Unia Swarzedz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 18%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Unia Swarzedz
4:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasiak J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 41 / 100
Lipno Steszew 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Lipno Steszew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Swarzedz scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lipno Steszew lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Lipno Steszew
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415