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Unia Swarzedz vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bzdega T.
68' Event
Lesniewski R.
78' Event
Molewski M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nielba Wagrowiec in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nielba Wagrowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Unia Swarzedz
44%
Draws
20%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz have won more games recently than Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:3
Sep 26, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Unia Swarzedz
4:3
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
Aug 12, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bednarski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Bzdega T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lesniewski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 36 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Unia Swarzedz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%