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Unia Swarzedz vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Piekarski S.
55' Event
Kot P.
90' Event
Przebierala J.

AI Match Summary

Notec Czarnkow in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notec Czarnkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Unia Swarzedz
20%
Draws
40%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Notec Czarnkow.
  • Model gives Unia Swarzedz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 11%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Notec Czarnkow
0:3
May 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Unia Swarzedz
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Notec Czarnkow
3:1
Feb 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs Notec Czarnkow
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Notec Czarnkow
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Piekarski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kot P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 56 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Unia Swarzedz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Notec Czarnkow
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)