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Unia Swarzedz vs Pogon Mogilno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Unia Swarzedz
20%
Draws
10%
Pogon Mogilno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Mogilno.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Mogilno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Pogon Mogilno
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 16 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs Pogon Mogilno
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 83 / 100
Pogon Mogilno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Pogon Mogilno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Mogilno conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Unia Swarzedz scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Unia Swarzedz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Pogon Mogilno
2.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Mogilno

(Away)
22 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
4 : 2
Pogon Mogilno
28 Jan
Pogon Mogilno
0 : 4
Kleczew
08 Feb
Pogon Mogilno
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Jan
Pogon Mogilno
1 : 4
Kleczew
22 Jan
Unia Janikowo
0 : 0
Pogon Mogilno