Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Unia Swarzedz

2 - 1

Victoria Wrzesnia

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Bartkowski J.

79'

Dworczak M.

90'

Nowak K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Unia Swarzedz and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Unia Swarzedz

44%

Draws

20%

Victoria Wrzesnia

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Unia Swarzedz haven't matched Victoria Wrzesnia's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 16%

Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Unia Swarzedz	Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	12	13
Draws	5	4
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	2.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Unia Swarzedz vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Unia Swarzedz

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Dworczak M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nowak K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartkowski J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 36 / 100

Victoria Wrzesnia 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Unia Swarzedz Victoria Wrzesnia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Unia Swarzedz's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Victoria Wrzesnia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Victoria Wrzesnia

2.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15