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Uniao ABC vs Chapadao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Uniao ABC Logo

Uniao ABC

1 - 3
FT
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 game between Uniao ABC and Chapadao finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Uniao ABC
35%
Draws
35%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chapadao come out ahead of Uniao ABC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uniao ABC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chapadao here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 20%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao ABC Chapadao
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.71 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
1:3
Feb 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Uniao ABC
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Uniao ABC
4:2
Mar 30, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
2:0
Feb 2, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Chapadao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao ABC 40 / 100
Chapadao 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao ABC Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Uniao ABC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Uniao ABC scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao ABC VS Chapadao
0.86 Goals Scored 1.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao ABC

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
Page 1 of 7

Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 7 0 1 16:4 21
2 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
3 Operario MS 8 3 3 2 13:7 12
4 Comercial MS 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
5 Uniao ABC 8 1 0 7 3:19 3
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
2 Dourados 8 3 4 1 6:4 13
3 Naviraiense 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Coxim 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
5 Aguia Negra 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)