Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao ABC vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021 game between Uniao ABC and Operario MS finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Uniao ABC
30%
Draws
35%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Operario MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario MS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 20%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao ABC Operario MS
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 6 25
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Uniao ABC
2:0
Feb 9, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Operario MS
0:5
May 9, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Operario MS
1:4
Apr 21, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Uniao ABC
2:1
Mar 17, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Operario MS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao ABC 31 / 100
Operario MS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao ABC Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Operario MS conceded in 68% of 47 recent games.

Solid form: Uniao ABC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Operario MS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao ABC VS Operario MS
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao ABC

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 10