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Uniao Barbarense vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Uniao Barbarense host Sao-Carlense in the Paulista A4 2023. Sao-Carlense are expected to control this from the start. Sao-Carlense have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Uniao Barbarense have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Uniao Barbarense have won 1 to Sao-Carlense's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Sao-Carlense to edge this. Sao-Carlense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Uniao Barbarense
22%
Draws
60%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao-Carlense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Barbarense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao-Carlense.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sao-Carlense.
  • Cup tournament structure in Paulista A4 2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 20%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Barbarense Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Sao-Carlense
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Barbarense
7:0
Sep 2, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Barbarense
3:0
Aug 26, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Sao-Carlense
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Barbarense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 20 / 100
Sao-Carlense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Barbarense Sao-Carlense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Barbarense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sao-Carlense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uniao Barbarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao-Carlense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Barbarense VS Sao-Carlense
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Francana1
Catanduva FC5
Rio Branco SP0
Taquaritinga1
Nacional SP1
Uniao Sao Joao3
Uniao Barbarense0
Sao-Carlense4
Semi-finals
Catanduva FC3
Taquaritinga2
Uniao Sao Joao4
Sao-Carlense3
Final
Catanduva FC0
Uniao Sao Joao2