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Uniao Barbarense vs XV de Jau

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Jorge Quintero
90' Event
Costa D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Uniao Barbarense
11%
Draws
80%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Barbarense lately — more wins on the board than XV de Jau.
  • Model gives XV de Jau a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 22%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Barbarense XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs XV de Jau
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs XV de Jau
0:1
Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Uniao Barbarense
4:0
Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs XV de Jau
0:1
Jun 23, 2019 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Uniao Barbarense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

XV de Jau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Quintero
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 13 / 100
XV de Jau 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Barbarense XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Barbarense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Uniao Barbarense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

XV de Jau has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Barbarense VS XV de Jau
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Barbarense

(Home)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
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XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)