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Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Sao Paulo U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa do Brasil U20. Little to choose between these two on current form. Uniao Carmolandense U20 have averaged 1.97 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sao Paulo U20's 2.14 scored and 0.48 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Sao Paulo U20 to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
15%
Draws
44%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Paulo U20 lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Carmolandense U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Sao Paulo U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.97 2.14
Goals Conceded 1 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense U20 32 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Sao Paulo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Carmolandense U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Uniao Carmolandense U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sao Paulo U20 has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Carmolandense U20 VS Sao Paulo U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Carmolandense U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense U20
09 Sept
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Miranda do Norte U20
04 Jul
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Batalhao U20
27 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ceara U20 -
Goias U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Amazonas U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
America RN U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Criciuma U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -