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Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tocantinense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

Uniao Carmolandense U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Carmolandense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
15%
Draws
32%
Tocantinopolis U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 have won more games recently than Tocantinopolis U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uniao Carmolandense U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Tocantinopolis U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense U20 Tocantinopolis U20
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 19 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.94 2.67
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Tocantinopolis U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
1:2
May 13, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense U20 31 / 100
Tocantinopolis U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Tocantinopolis U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Carmolandense U20 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Tocantinopolis U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Uniao Carmolandense U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Carmolandense U20 VS Tocantinopolis U20
3.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Carmolandense U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Miranda do Norte U20
04 Jul
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Batalhao U20
27 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
13 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
1 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
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Tocantinopolis U20

(Away)
05 Nov
Paysandu PA U20
4 : 0
Tocantinopolis U20
29 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
0 : 2
Paysandu PA U20
22 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura U20
09 Jul
Batalhao U20
2 : 1
Tocantinopolis U20
06 Jul
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 1
Batalhao U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)