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Uniao Carmolandense vs Guarai SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Willian Goiano
29' Event
Jardisson

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense game between Uniao Carmolandense and Guarai SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Carmolandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Uniao Carmolandense
35%
Draws
38%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guarai SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 17%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense Guarai SC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.19 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Guarai SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Carmolandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Goiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jardisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Guarai SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense 10 / 100
Guarai SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Carmolandense scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Guarai SC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Uniao Carmolandense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Carmolandense VS Guarai SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Carmolandense

(Home)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
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Guarai SC

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)