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Uniao Carmolandense vs Tocantinopolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Sat, Mar 22, 2025
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Tocantinense 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Uniao Carmolandense have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Tocantinopolis's 1.38 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Tocantinopolis slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.29) point toward Uniao Carmolandense. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Uniao Carmolandense
20%
Draws
42%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Carmolandense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Tocantinopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 19%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Carmolandense Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Uniao Carmolandense
2:1
Apr 2, 2026 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Tocantinopolis
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Tocantinopolis
0:0
Mar 26, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Uniao Carmolandense
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Carmolandense 42 / 100
Tocantinopolis 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Carmolandense Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Carmolandense's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Tocantinopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Uniao Carmolandense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Carmolandense VS Tocantinopolis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Carmolandense

(Home)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
Page 1 of 7

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Capital FC 2
Araguaina 4
Gurupi 1
Tocantinopolis 2
Final
Araguaina 3
Tocantinopolis 2